Consider the following conditional expectation using country-level data, where \(pcGDP\) is a country’s per capita GDP (in thousands of dollars), \(Inflation\) is the country’s current inflation rate, \(Europe\) is a binary variable indicating whether the country is located in Europe, and where \(Democracy\) is a binary variable indicating whether a country has democratic institutions.
\[\mathbb{E}[pcGDP|Inflation, Europe, Democracy] = \beta_0 + \beta_1 Inflation + \beta_2 Inflation \cdot Europe + \beta_3 Inflation^2 + \beta_4 Democracy\]
Further suppose that \(\beta_0 = 45, \beta_1=-1, \beta_2=-2, \beta_3=-0.1, \beta_4=8\)
What is the expected value of per capita GDP for a European country with democratic institutions whose inflation rate is equal to 4?
What is the marginal contrast of inflation in this model?
What is the average marginal contrast of inflation in this model?
Given the relevant data, how would you estimate the average marginal contrast of inflation?